Aberystwyth Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 1
LLA
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LLA
4 - 3
ABE
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ABE
4 - 3
LID
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
ABE
65%
20%
16%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 0
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LID
2 - 1
CON
29%
24%
48%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
CON
0 - 5
BAL
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 0
CON
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
ABE
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 1
CON
70%
17%
12%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |