Aberystwyth Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
POR
2 - 6
ABE
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
LLA
1 - 0
ABE
64%
19%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2008 |
ABE
2 - 4
POR
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
ABE
0 - 0
BAN
38%
24%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
ABE
2 - 1
LLA
31%
23%
46%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
CON
2 - 1
CEF
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2008 |
WEL
1 - 1
CON
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
NEW
4 - 1
CON
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
CON
1 - 0
CAE
57%
22%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
RHY
1 - 0
CON
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |