Aberystwyth Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CAE
0 - 1
ABE
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
LLA
1 - 2
ABE
55%
21%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
ABE
4 - 2
CAR
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BAN
1 - 4
ABE
42%
24%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ABE
1 - 1
AIR
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CON
2 - 1
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
CWM
0 - 1
CON
47%
24%
28%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
RHY
2 - 0
CON
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CON
1 - 3
WEL
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
CON
4 - 3
CAE
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |