Aberystwyth Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 3
ABE
38%
25%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 1
FLI
57%
21%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 0
ABE
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 2
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 0
CEF
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 3
ABE
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 2
CAR
38%
26%
37%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
FLI
5 - 0
CEF
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CEF
2 - 1
HAV
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |