Aberystwyth Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
STM
2 - 1
ABE
11%
14%
74%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 0
ABE
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
ABE
0 - 5
BAL
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
AIR
1 - 5
ABE
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
40%
23%
37%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +3 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
CEF
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CEF
1 - 0
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
CEF
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 3
CEF
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 1
CAE
31%
25%
45%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |