Aberystwyth Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CAE
4 - 0
ABE
45%
24%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CWU
3 - 4
ABE
6%
11%
83%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 3
ABE
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 3
ABE
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 2
CON
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
YWF
1 - 3
CEF
7%
14%
79%
|
59 | 20 | 39 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
CEF
2 - 2
BAL
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 0
CEF
27%
26%
48%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 3
CEF
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |