Aberystwyth Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PRE
1 - 2
ABE
56%
22%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
ABE
1 - 2
TNS
17%
21%
62%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 3
ABE
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ABE
0 - 0
BAR
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
ABE
1 - 2
AIR
55%
21%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 1
CEF
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 3
CEF
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 0
NEW
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 2
CEF
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |