Aberystwyth Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
ABE
1 - 0
NEW
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
4 - 0
ABE
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 1
ABE
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ABE
2 - 1
AIR
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
6 - 3
ABE
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
CEF
3 - 1
PRE
50%
22%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 1
AIR
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 1
CEF
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 3
CAR
35%
24%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PRE
0 - 4
CEF
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |