Aberystwyth Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
ABE
1 - 0
BAL
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 2
ABE
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
ABE
34%
25%
40%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
LLA
8 - 1
ABE
69%
17%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
ABE
2 - 1
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 0
CEF
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 1
RHY
13%
20%
67%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LLA
4 - 0
CEF
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAE
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
CEF
2 - 4
WEL
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |