Aberystwyth Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
TNS
1 - 1
ABE
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
ABE
0 - 2
WEL
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ABE
5 - 1
PRE
67%
18%
15%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
AIR
1 - 2
ABE
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ABE
0 - 1
RHY
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CEF
3 - 1
NEA
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 1
CEF
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 1
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
CEF
0 - 1
CAE
66%
18%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
CEF
2 - 4
POR
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |