Aberystwyth Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 3
ABE
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
ABE
2 - 2
HAV
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 1
ABE
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ABE
2 - 3
RHY
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
POR
0 - 4
ABE
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
CEF
0 - 3
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
CWM
3 - 2
CEF
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
CEF
2 - 2
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CAE
2 - 1
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CEF
1 - 2
CAR
33%
26%
40%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |