Aberystwyth Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
POR
2 - 1
ABE
17%
22%
62%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
ABE
2 - 1
NEW
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
BAN
2 - 3
ABE
53%
23%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
ABE
1 - 0
CWM
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2003 |
ABE
5 - 0
WEL
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
CEF
0 - 1
POR
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
HAV
1 - 0
CEF
57%
22%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
CEF
3 - 0
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
NEW
2 - 3
CEF
54%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
CWM
0 - 2
CEF
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |