Aberystwyth Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 2
ABE
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
CON
1 - 2
ABE
44%
25%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
CAE
2 - 2
ABE
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
BAN
0 - 1
ABE
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
ABE
3 - 1
NEW
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
CEF
4 - 0
LLA
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
NEW
1 - 2
CEF
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
CEF
0 - 0
CON
28%
25%
48%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2002 |
CAE
3 - 3
CEF
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
CEF
0 - 3
BAR
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |