Aberystwyth Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
OSW
1 - 2
ABE
37%
25%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
ABE
1 - 1
LID
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
CWM
1 - 0
ABE
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
ABE
2 - 2
CAE
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
HAV
1 - 3
ABE
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2000 |
CEF
2 - 1
LLA
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
POR
2 - 1
CEF
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
NEW
2 - 1
CEF
52%
24%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
CEF
3 - 4
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
LLA
1 - 3
CEF
66%
19%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |