Aberystwyth Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
8º
12º
11º
34
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
ABE
43%
23%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ABE
3 - 2
CAE
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 1
ABE
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
AIR
83%
12%
6%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PON
1 - 1
ABE
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TAF
0 - 3
CAR
8%
17%
75%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
HAV
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
CON
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |