Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ABE
3 - 3
BAN
28%
25%
48%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
CON
0 - 4
ABE
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
ABE
3 - 2
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 2
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LID
1 - 6
BAL
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LID
0 - 3
POR
33%
27%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
LID
2 - 2
NEW
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
POR
5 - 1
LID
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BAN
1 - 0
LID
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |