Abertillery Bluebirds vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
73.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
ABB
54%
21%
26%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ABB
1 - 1
ABE
36%
22%
43%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
6 - 1
ABB
83%
11%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
TAF
2 - 1
ABB
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 2
ABB
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
LID
2 - 2
TAF
51%
23%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 3
TAF
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
TAF
2 - 1
ABB
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
TAF
3 - 1
ABE
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 4
TAF
19%
19%
62%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |