Aberfan vs Briton Ferry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.3%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
86.7%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
11%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
4.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
14.4%
0-5
6.2%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
9%
0-6
3.4%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4.8%
0-7
1.6%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2.2%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.9%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberfan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ABF
2 - 1
PFC
23%
20%
58%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ABF
1 - 5
TRE
7%
12%
81%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ABF
2 - 0
PTA
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 2
GOY
82%
12%
5%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 0
ABE
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CAM
3 - 2
BRI
23%
22%
55%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
AAF
0 - 1
BRI
13%
18%
70%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
LID
3 - 2
BRI
18%
20%
62%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |