Aberdeen vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
12º
3º
42
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STJ
0 - 1
ABE
30%
30%
40%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 3
MHE
54%
26%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
4 - 1
STM
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CEL
2 - 0
ABE
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ABE
3 - 0
RAI
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MHE
1 - 0
LIV
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 1
HIB
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIV
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 2
GLA
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 0
KHE
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |