Aberdeen vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
GLA
2 - 2
ABE
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 0
HIB
32%
27%
42%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 1
ABE
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 2
CEL
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
STM
3 - 2
ABE
30%
29%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
STJ
1 - 1
HOM
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HOM
1 - 1
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
GLA
1 - 1
HOM
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HOM
2 - 0
MHE
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HOM
3 - 0
LIV
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |