Aberdeen vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
CEL
3 - 2
ABE
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ABE
4 - 1
MHE
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
STJ
3 - 0
ABE
27%
28%
46%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 1
ABE
40%
25%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ABE
3 - 0
HAM
67%
22%
11%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 1
ROS
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 3
CEL
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MHE
1 - 0
HOM
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
ICT
0 - 0
HOM
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 1
ABE
40%
25%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +2 |