Aberdeen vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
ABE
1 - 0
GLA
14%
19%
67%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
HIB
2 - 0
ABE
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
STJ
1 - 1
ABE
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
DUN
3 - 1
ABE
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
ABE
1 - 5
GLA
15%
20%
65%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
HOM
3 - 0
DUN
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
KIL
2 - 2
HOM
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1999 |
MHE
2 - 1
HOM
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
HOM
1 - 2
CEL
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
HOM
1 - 1
MHE
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |