Aberdeen vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1939 |
STJ
1 - 0
ABE
43%
22%
36%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
ABE
3 - 2
STM
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
FAL
1 - 3
ABE
55%
21%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1939 |
ABE
6 - 1
HIB
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1939 |
AYR
3 - 3
ABE
30%
21%
49%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1939 |
MHE
4 - 2
HOM
62%
18%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
HOM
8 - 2
STJ
70%
16%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1939 |
STM
1 - 1
HOM
28%
21%
52%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1939 |
HOM
2 - 0
AYR
75%
13%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1939 |
ARB
1 - 1
HOM
21%
19%
60%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |