Aberdare Town FC vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdare Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
HAV
3 - 3
ABE
64%
19%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WES
0 - 2
ABE
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 0
WES
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GOY
1 - 0
ABE
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
ABE
0 - 0
BRI
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BRY
2 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TON
3 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
GOY
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |