Aberdare Town FC vs Bryntirion Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdare Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 2
TAT
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 3
ABE
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BAN
4 - 1
ABE
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ABE
2 - 1
TAT
68%
18%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 2
AFC
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HAV
1 - 0
BRY
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BRY
3 - 7
WES
45%
24%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
BRY
22%
22%
57%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
BRY
1 - 2
TON
58%
22%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AFC
4 - 4
BRY
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |