Abercorn vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
57.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1896 |
ABE
3 - 2
STM
35%
23%
43%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1896 |
DUN
3 - 0
ABE
59%
20%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1896 |
ABE
2 - 3
STB
41%
23%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1896 |
CLY
6 - 2
ABE
39%
21%
39%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1896 |
ABE
2 - 9
GLA
23%
21%
57%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1896 |
HOM
1 - 1
CEL
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1896 |
STM
0 - 2
HOM
28%
21%
51%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1896 |
STB
2 - 5
HOM
25%
21%
54%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1896 |
HIB
2 - 0
HOM
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1896 |
HOM
2 - 1
GLA
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |