Abercorn vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1892 |
STM
0 - 3
ABE
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1892 |
ABE
3 - 1
CAM
42%
23%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1892 |
CLY
7 - 2
ABE
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1891 |
ABE
3 - 3
CLY
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1891 |
REN
2 - 1
ABE
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1891 |
HOM
1 - 0
CAM
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1891 |
GLA
0 - 1
HOM
62%
20%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1891 |
VOL
2 - 2
HOM
23%
22%
55%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1891 |
HOM
3 - 1
LEI
65%
20%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1891 |
CEL
3 - 1
HOM
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |