Abercorn vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1891 |
CAM
4 - 5
ABE
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1891 |
HOM
1 - 1
ABE
61%
21%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1891 |
ABE
1 - 0
COW
62%
20%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1891 |
GLA
2 - 0
ABE
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1891 |
ABE
6 - 0
VOL
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1891 |
HOM
0 - 4
DUM
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1891 |
TLA
4 - 0
HOM
38%
24%
39%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1891 |
STM
3 - 2
HOM
36%
25%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1891 |
HOM
1 - 1
ABE
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1891 |
HOM
4 - 1
TLA
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |