Abercorn vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1893 |
LEI
1 - 1
ABE
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1893 |
HOM
3 - 1
ABE
65%
19%
17%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1893 |
ABE
1 - 2
STM
39%
23%
39%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1893 |
REN
2 - 1
ABE
59%
21%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1893 |
ABE
4 - 2
CEL
26%
22%
52%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1893 |
DUM
3 - 0
GLA
38%
23%
39%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1893 |
DUM
3 - 1
CLY
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1893 |
DUM
5 - 1
HOM
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1893 |
CEL
5 - 1
DUM
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1893 |
DUM
1 - 1
REN
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |