Abercorn vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1891 |
VOL
0 - 3
ABE
35%
24%
41%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1891 |
ABE
3 - 2
LEI
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1891 |
DUM
8 - 1
ABE
61%
20%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1891 |
CEL
2 - 0
ABE
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1891 |
TLA
2 - 1
ABE
58%
22%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1891 |
CEL
3 - 0
REN
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1891 |
CLY
2 - 7
CEL
28%
24%
48%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1891 |
CEL
3 - 0
GLA
56%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1891 |
HOM
3 - 1
CEL
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1891 |
CEL
2 - 0
ABE
64%
20%
17%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +2 |