Aberbargoed Buds vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
58.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberbargoed Buds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
WES
2 - 3
ABE
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ABE
0 - 1
CAM
16%
20%
64%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
ABE
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 2
AFC
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 1
CWM
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GOY
0 - 4
TAF
58%
22%
21%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
TAF
5 - 0
WES
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TAF
1 - 1
CAM
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
LID
4 - 3
TAF
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
TAF
3 - 1
MON
50%
22%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |