Aberbargoed Buds vs Goytre AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberbargoed Buds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
ABE
1 - 3
ABE
13%
18%
69%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 1
ABE
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GOY
5 - 2
ABE
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ABE
3 - 2
GOY
17%
18%
65%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 2
ABE
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Goytre AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
TAF
2 - 0
GOY
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GOY
5 - 2
ABE
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
HAV
3 - 0
GOY
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GOY
2 - 3
CAE
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GOY
1 - 1
CWM
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |