Aberbargoed Buds vs Cambrian United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
64.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberbargoed Buds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
ABE
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 2
AFC
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 1
CWM
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 1
TAT
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
CWM
3 - 0
ABE
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TAF
1 - 1
CAM
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 3
CAM
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WES
0 - 5
CAM
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GOY
3 - 2
CAM
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 2
CAM
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |