Aberbargoed Buds vs AFC Porth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberbargoed Buds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 1
CWM
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 1
TAT
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
CWM
3 - 0
ABE
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAE
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ERA
6 - 1
ABE
53%
22%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -3 |
Matches
AFC Porth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AFC
3 - 1
TAF
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 2
CAM
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AFC
4 - 0
WES
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
CWM
1 - 0
AFC
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
3 - 0
CAR
80%
14%
7%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |