Abejar vs Quintana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ABE
4 - 0
LAN
60%
21%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 2
ABE
36%
26%
39%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 0
GOL
60%
19%
20%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
ABE
57%
22%
21%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ABE
4 - 0
COV
81%
13%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 2
VIS
35%
24%
42%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LAN
5 - 1
QUI
55%
22%
23%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
QUI
3 - 1
NOR
54%
21%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
QUI
56%
22%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 0
SJE
42%
24%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |