Abejar vs Covaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+288%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PIQ
1 - 0
ABE
29%
25%
46%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 0
CDC
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NAV
0 - 2
ABE
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ABE
5 - 0
VIS
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 2
ABE
11%
18%
71%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
COV
0 - 1
LAN
17%
19%
64%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 2
COV
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
COV
1 - 4
GOL
20%
19%
61%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
EST
10 - 1
COV
81%
12%
7%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COV
1 - 3
QUI
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |