Abejar vs Covaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.6%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
3.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+187%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
ABE
14%
19%
67%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ABE
5 - 1
CAS
90%
8%
3%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 2
ABE
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 2
ABE
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ABE
3 - 1
NOR
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 1
COV
80%
13%
7%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
COV
0 - 1
SAM
40%
23%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
COV
1 - 1
ARC
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 1
COV
60%
19%
21%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
COV
0 - 0
CAS
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |