Abejar vs Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
COV
0 - 2
ABE
9%
16%
75%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 2
ABE
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ABE
3 - 2
PIQ
38%
24%
38%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ABE
5 - 1
VAL
58%
21%
22%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SAM
3 - 2
ABE
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ARC
3 - 2
PIQ
11%
19%
70%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 0
ARC
68%
18%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ARC
0 - 1
SAM
18%
23%
59%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ARC
2 - 0
NAV
54%
19%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
GOL
3 - 1
ARC
46%
21%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |