ABC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 2
ABC
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 0
POR
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 2
VAS
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 0
ABC
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 0
ABC
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 1
VAS
9%
22%
69%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
OES
1 - 3
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 1
VIL
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
ATL
15%
24%
61%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |