ABC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
BAH
4 - 0
ABC
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 1
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 0
ABC
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 3
FFL
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 0
ABC
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
CEA
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 2
VIL
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
IFC
4 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +2 |