ABC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ABC
2 - 2
POT
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
POT
2 - 2
ABC
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
ABC
1 - 0
MEC
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
ABC
2 - 3
ASS
57%
22%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
VIL
3 - 1
CRA
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ANA
2 - 1
VIL
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 1
MIN
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
CAN
1 - 1
VIL
23%
22%
55%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
0 - 4
ATL
60%
21%
18%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |