ABC vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 0
ABC
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 2
VIL
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ABC
0 - 0
VIT
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 2
ABC
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 0
SPO
31%
27%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
4 - 0
VIT
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 1
SPO
17%
23%
60%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 0
ASA
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 3
SPO
34%
27%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |