ABC vs Sousa analysis

ABC Sousa
70 ELO 55
-5.9% Tilt -12.7%
1617º General ELO ranking 3205º
56º Country ELO ranking 93º
ELO win probability
71.7%
ABC
18.6%
Draw
9.8%
Sousa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
ABC
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.8%
Win probability
Sousa
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ABC
-7%
-6%
Sousa

ELO progression

ABC
Sousa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ABC
ABC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Dec. 2023
ABC
ABC
1 - 0
Santa Cruz RN
SAN
85%
12%
3%
70 38 32 0
28 Dec. 2023
GLO
Globo
0 - 1
ABC
ABC
7%
16%
77%
70 34 36 0
25 Nov. 2023
ABC
ABC
3 - 2
Vila Nova
VIL
26%
29%
45%
69 80 11 +1
19 Nov. 2023
GUA
Guaraní
2 - 3
ABC
ABC
68%
21%
12%
68 81 13 +1
15 Nov. 2023
ABC
ABC
0 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
22%
28%
50%
67 81 14 +1

Matches

Sousa
Sousa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2023
SOU
Sousa
1 - 1
Ferroviária
FER
28%
29%
43%
55 64 9 0
26 Aug. 2023
FER
Ferroviária
1 - 0
Sousa
SOU
59%
25%
16%
56 63 7 -1
20 Aug. 2023
SOU
Sousa
2 - 1
Atlético Cearense
UNI
48%
25%
27%
55 52 3 +1
12 Aug. 2023
UNI
Atlético Cearense
1 - 2
Sousa
SOU
45%
27%
28%
54 53 1 +1
06 Aug. 2023
SOU
Sousa
2 - 1
Falcon FC
FFC
64%
21%
15%
54 46 8 0