ABC vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAN
85%
12%
3%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
GLO
0 - 1
ABC
7%
16%
77%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ABC
3 - 2
VIL
26%
29%
45%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 3
ABC
68%
21%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
ABC
0 - 0
JUV
22%
28%
50%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 1
FER
28%
29%
43%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
SOU
59%
25%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 1
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
SOU
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 1
FFC
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |