Liga do Nordeste Qualifying Round Final
Global 2-4
ABC vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 0
APA
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 0
ABC
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
APA
4 - 2
ABC
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
ABC
4 - 2
JAC
53%
24%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ABC
3 - 0
CAX
51%
26%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 0
ABC
17%
23%
60%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
SOU
79%
15%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 2
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 0
ABC
18%
25%
57%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |