ABC vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ABC
0 - 0
COR
81%
14%
6%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
ABC
10%
20%
70%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 0
AFP
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
ABC
12%
21%
67%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
POT
0 - 0
ABC
12%
20%
68%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
JAC
3 - 7
POT
32%
22%
47%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
POT
2 - 2
ITA
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
4 - 1
POT
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
POT
3 - 2
JAC
61%
20%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
POT
0 - 0
ABC
12%
20%
68%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | +1 |