ABC vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 0
ABC
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ABC
3 - 1
BAR
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
ABC
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
4 - 0
ABC
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ABC
1 - 1
ARN
31%
25%
45%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
POT
1 - 1
ALE
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
POT
1 - 1
ARN
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 1
POT
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 2
POT
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
POT
2 - 0
PAL
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |