ABC vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ABC
4 - 2
ARN
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
ABC
2 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALE
1 - 6
ABC
12%
20%
69%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
ABC
1 - 1
COR
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
ABC
14%
21%
66%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
POT
1 - 1
BAR
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
ALE
1 - 3
POT
43%
25%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
POT
1 - 2
ASS
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
POT
1 - 0
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
COR
2 - 0
POT
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |