ABC vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ASS
3 - 2
ABC
36%
25%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ARN
2 - 1
ABC
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
ABC
2 - 0
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 3
ABC
17%
22%
62%
|
58 | 24 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 2
ABC
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
POT
1 - 1
ALE
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
POT
0 - 0
PAY
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 4
POT
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
COR
1 - 1
POT
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
POT
1 - 3
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |