ABC vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
POT
0 - 0
ABC
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ABC
3 - 0
COR
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
COR
1 - 0
ABC
24%
24%
53%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 2
ABC
28%
25%
48%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ABC
0 - 5
ASS
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
POT
0 - 0
ABC
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ASS
0 - 1
POT
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
POT
0 - 0
ASS
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
POT
3 - 3
MEC
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PEC
1 - 0
POT
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |