ABC vs Potiguar EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2008 |
ABC
4 - 1
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ACD
1 - 2
ABC
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
ABC
2 - 1
BRA
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 0
ABC
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
BAH
3 - 0
ABC
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Potiguar EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
PEC
2 - 1
SGO
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
POT
4 - 3
PEC
31%
24%
44%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ARN
3 - 2
PEC
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
PEC
1 - 5
ARN
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
BAR
3 - 1
PEC
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |